@ RESTORING HOPE Economic Revitalization in Iraq Moves Forward Paul A. Brinkley, Deputy Under Secretary of Defense for Business Transformation Paul A. Brinkley is deputy under secretary of defense for business transformation In June 2006 he was tasked by the deputy secretary of de- fense to lead the Task Force for Busi- ness and Stabilization Operations, Iraq. Mr Brinkley holds bachelor's and master's degrees 1n 1ndustnal engineering from Texas A&M Univer- sity and has completed coursework for a PhD. in operations research from North Carolina State University The holder of four US patents for systems and process technologies, he was a senior executive wilh several successful mternational compames onor to joining the Department of Defense 1n 2004 PHOTO Quality assurance technician at the State Company for Drugs and rvledical Suppl1es in l~mawah, Iraq. (courtesy of the author) Counterinsurgents achieve the most meaning/it! success by gaining popu- lar support and legitimacy for the host government, not by killing insurgents. Security plays an important role in setting the stage for other progress, but lasting victory comes fi-orn a vibrant economy, political participation, and restored hope. -U.S. Army Field Manual3-24, Counterinsurgency' 0 NE OF THE CRITICAL FACTORS in the counterinsurgency strategy that is demonstrating early but measured progress in increasing security in Iraq is the alignment and rapid application of economic development as security improves. As discussed in the first part of this series on revitalization of the Iraqi economy, "A Cause tor Hope" (Military Review, July/August 2007), the challenges in leveraging and applying American economic expertise, invest- ment, and other stimuli to uplift the Iraqi economy have been numerous, ranging from policy to strategy to tactics. Prior to 1991, Iraq was the most industrialized ofthe Arab states with a significant base of industrial operations across a wide range of sectors, and a highly skilled civilian workforce. From 1991-2003, industry in Iraq was strictly focused on internal production to meet domestic demand-United Nations sanctions prevented export of goods or international economic engagement, although some factories remained relatively modem through investments in equipment upgrades. Following the collapse of the regime in 2003, the Iraqi workforce experienced great economic hardship with unemployment and underemployment exceeding 50 percent? These conditions directly contributed to insurgent sympathy and economically motivated violence. The Task Force for Business and Stability Operations in Iraq (TFBSO) was established in 2006 by Deputy Secretary of Defense Gordon England to address the revitalization of the industrial economy in Iraq. What follows is a status report on this revitalization effort and the ongoing transition of the Iraqi industrial economy to a free-market state that is integrated with global financial, supply, and trade infrastructures. TFBSO and the Overall Economic Mission in Iraq Underlying every strategic objective of the task force is a core principle based on the size and scope of the U.S. presence in Iraq. For calendar year 2007, Iraq had a gross domestic product estimated at $55 billion3 The 8 March-April 2008 MILITARY REVIEW U.S. Department of Defense (DOD) current cost of sustaining operations in Iraq is approximately $10 billion per month4 Most of this cost is dedi- cated to sustaining the presence of our uniformed service members and civilian workforce, covering not only the direct cost of military operations, but also everything from housing to food to security at the local level. Considering U.S. government spending as a market has underpinned the TFBSO's economic development strategy in Iraq. Careful application of this spending with an eye on local economic development, while ensuring our forces are sus- tained with the best possible materiel support, has fundamentally changed the way DOD consid- ers economic reconstruction and has led to the development of new approaches to post-conflict stabilization. Economic reconstruction in Iraq has required an interagency operational concept that leverages the collective strengths ofthe various U.S. gov- ernment entities in Iraq. The general framework illustrated in figure 1 represents the interagency operating model that has emerged for Iraqi eco- nomic development. While the boundaries for the model are not firmly fixed, this general structure has informed collabora- tion and cooperation among involved U.S. govern- ment entities. With this basic structure defined and agreed upon, the TFBSO further defined its areas of focus. IRAQI BUSINESS UPDATE Framework for an Industrial Economy From its inception, the Task Force for Business and Stability Operations has operated with a broad set of focus areas, each with a dedicated team of U.S. government and business leaders engaging in all areas of the country, and has been tightly aligned to Multi-National Force-Iraq (MNF-I) and its subordinate commands. While much of the public understanding of the task force has focused on enabling and automating direct contracting with Iraqi businesses and restarting idled large state- owned enterprises shut down since 2003. these two primary focus areas led to expanded emphases on economic development for each critical tier of a modem industrial economy. A modem industrial economy must possess the following key elements: • A fiber-optic communications backbone with corresponding local wireless access capability to enable automated transaction processing as well as broad-based access to information via the Internet. • A banking sector and financial system infra- structure capable of automated financial manage- ment, from large-scale bank-to-bank financial transactions to personal financial transactions. • Active industrial operations across sectors identified as competitively advantageous for eco- nomic or strategic reasons. • Small-business and private-sector entrepre- neurial activity to drive future employment. Legal Frameworl<, Policy, Central Banldng, Justice, Trade Within Iraq, U S government civilian organizations' engage at the highest level of pol1cy and legal structure or, in the case of USAID, at the humanitarian or small-business grassroots level vvth micro loans, educational assistance, and other humanitarian support. Industrial Economy TFBSO is working on tactical initiatives that enable the core industrial base of the economy and integrate Iraq into global supply and investment processes. Micro Loans, Local Assistance * U S. Military Commanders Emergency Response Program Funds are applied primarily at the local level, with sorne investment in industrial capacity. Figure 1. Interagency engagement model. MILITARY REVIEW March-April 2008 9 • Private-sector investment processes to encour- age inflows of private capital to further stimulate business growth. These key elements are addressed by the TFBSO operating model in figure 2. Review of Task Force Focus Areas The progress and current status of the key eco- nomic elements in Iraq present an optimistic picture for the way ahead. Communications infrastructure. To suc- cessfully integrate Iraqi industry with the global economy, a cost-competitive core fiber-optic com- munication backbone with robust connections to wire-line and wireless infrastructure is critical. In partnership with the MNF-I Communications and Information Services Command, the Defense Information Services Agency (DISA), and the U.S. Embassy Baghdad advisor for telecommunications, the TFBSO launched several initiatives to stimulate the creation of such a network infrastructure. To incentivize public- and private-sector com- panies to build up Iraq's fiber-optic communica- tions infrastructure, DOD leveraged its bandwidth Private Investment Marlactr:>nic Industry i2 factcrieSJ